A Glimpse of Australia’s Population in 2056?

7th
2008

This post was written by Martin Bell @ mrd
Posted Under: In The News @ mrd,Statistics

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) recently released its population projections which highlight strong population growth between now and 2056. This week RP Data looks at these statistics and highlights some key findings from this information including: growth by state and capital city and the implications of such strong growth…..

By 2056, Queensland will be the second most populous state and will house one quarter of all Australian residents compared to 24% of all residents which are projected to live in Victoria. Queensland is projected to overtake Victoria as the second most populous state in 2050. Western Australia’s portion of the Australian population is also projected to increase with the states population growing from 10% of the total Australian population during 2007 to 12% of the total population during 2056.

Essentially, this increase in population throughout all areas directly equates to demand for new housing. Based on a total population increase of almost 10.5 million persons between 2007 and 2056 a significant number of new dwellings will need to be delivered to cater to this strong demand.

Read more…

Should Congress Agree To The Bail Out?

3rd
2008

This post was written by Nick Lockhart @ mrd
Posted Under: From the desk @ mrd,Video Blog @ mrd

If the consequences of the current financial challenges faced by the United States right now could be contained to Wall Street then there would be no debate in Congress; because there would be no bail out on the table.

Unfortunately, if allowed to run the full course, this catastrophe on the Wall Street financial markets would flow through and effect all Americans in both a seriously and significantly way.

It would not stop at the borders of the United States, but would flow around the world affecting us all.

Therefore to simply say “why should we bail out the fat cats” and oppose the bailout, demonstrates a lack of clear understanding.

While Wall St has caused this problem, it is the systemic failure of the American government over various administrations that is at the root of this problem.

They failed to:

  • Reign in those excesses
  • Address the corruption
  • Regulating the markets
  • Prevent the free market concept being subjected to extremism

The Government did not directly cause the problem, but indirectly they are guilty of contributing to it. Their failure to build the secure railway track has resulted in this runaway train wreck.

Therefore, in my opinion, the United States Government does have a moral obligation to contain the damage, rebuild the track and protect the average citizen from fallout that they probably cannot imagine right now may befall them.

The free market has delivered a problem under a regulative environment that was doomed to failure. Therefore, the Government now has an obligation to fix that regulatory environment to ensure this never happens again.

Unfortunately, like it or not, the only way confidence and strength will come back into the economy is via the free market; and that free market is currently crippled. Given the U.S. Government has been a part of the problem, they must be a part of the solution; as fair or as unfair as that may seem to the average person.

Happy Investing,

Nick Lockhart

Property Market Results Defy Doom & Gloom Merchants

3rd
2008

This post was written by Nick Lockhart @ mrd
Posted Under: In The News @ mrd,Statistics

RP Data – Rismark Property Value Index Release
Released 01 October 2008

The national end of month property indices report released today by RP Data & Rismark International confirms that the supply and demand imbalance currently being experienced in the Australian property market has placed a floor under housing prices, resulting in minimal value falls.

Read more…

The Safest Asset Class

3rd
2008

This post was written by Nick Lockhart @ mrd
Posted Under: From the desk @ mrd

The so called economic guru’s are very quick with their opinions and commentary on the state of economic affairs; but remember they are only expressing their opinions. While I don’t profess to offer financial advice, or to have the answers to “life, the universe & everything”, I too have opinions.

In the lead up to the end of the 06/07 tax year, when “the experts” were promoting the virtues of investing into the Howard/Costello “tax effective Superannuation offer”, I didn’t believe them. Today I hear economic guru’s peddling the fear that our property market will follow the US lead and fall by up to 20%. Guess what, I don’t believe them!

Read more…

What Makes Townsville A Great Place To Invest In Residential Property?

3rd
2008

This post was written by Nick Lockhart @ mrd
Posted Under: Statistics

Economic Viability

  • A fundamentally broad based economy benefiting from regional industries including sugar production, mining, cattle grazing and fishing; each of which form large elements of the North Queensland regional economic base with no end in sight in particular to the boom in mining services
  • Gross Regional Product (nth region) 06/07 up 7.8% to $11.8 billion
  • Defence bases expanding by 2012 – 1500 soldiers and support staff moving from Holsworthy
  • Business challenge: Skills shortages & increased supply costs

Read more…

Extracts From – Growing Concern: Population Boom Expected

23rd
2008

This post was written by Martin Bell @ mrd
Posted Under: In The News @ mrd

About two years after each census is completed, the Australian Bureau of Statistics produces a set of population projections for all states, territories and capital cities. This document provides one input to demand modelling by federal and state government departments.  Some states also produce population projections but they generally follow the lead set by the ABS.

The previous forecast, issued in June 2004 and based on the 2001 census, shows the Australian population rising from 20.6 million in 2006 to 28.2 million in 2051.  This medium-growth outlook assumed falling fertility and net annual migration of 110,000.  Both these assumptions more or less reflected the prevailing paradigm in fertility and migration trends from the late 1990s.

Under this outlook, Australia would add 7.6 million residents over 45 years: 1.5 million being added to Brisbane, 1.4 million to Melbourne and 1.3 million to Sydney.  Outside the capital cities, Queensland was to add 1.4 million residents (mostly on the Gold Coast).

Within four years the ABS has changed its medium-growth assumption from 110,000 migrants a year to 180,000 migrants a year.
Pushing the annual net migration assumption a further 70,000 over 45 years delivers an extra 3.2 million residents. The bottom line is that there has been a paradigm shift in the way demographers view Australia’s future and the key difference is immigration

Either Australians must “dense it up” to European proportions, or our cities must expand into greenfields locations and most likely within master-planned communities.

The outlook in the resource states is just as exciting. Over the 45 years to 2051, Brisbane will add 400,000 more residents than had been previously planned.

The new projections also bring demographic cheer to the regions.  Non-metropolitan Queensland (dominated by the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast) will accommodate not 1.4 million extra residents over the 45 years to 2051, but 2.3 million. In just four years the outlook for regional Queensland has delivered a requirement to accommodate 900,000 extra residents. The two “coasts” will accommodate a large chunk of this, but what does this mean for the supply of and demand for land and water in cities such as Townsville, Mackay, Cairns and Toowoomba?

Bernard Salt, demographer | September 11, 2008

Capitalising Interest, The Australian Tax Office & Impecuniosity – What the….??

19th
2008

This post was written by Martin Bell @ mrd
Posted Under: From the desk @ mrd,News Clippings

It is a tough job for simple people like me to unravel the logic or meaning behind Tax Rulings at the best of times; but when the ATO goes and uses words like “impecuniosity”, I scream “plain English please!” I suppose it is actually a good thing when we are given the opportunity to expand our vocabulary; which I did recently when reading up on the whole subject of the “tax deductibility of capitalised interest”.

For many years I have capitalised my investment property expenses. Managing a portfolio of 13 properties has meant the interest rate rises of recent years had the potential to “hurt a lot”. Not having to pay those many expenses from my cashflow has been the difference between sailing through the storm or being shipwrecked along the way!

Having taken clear instruction from my accountant on this subject, I have always done the “right things” by the ATO. I keep a separate Line of Credit for all my investment property expenses; such as rates, body corporate levies, maintenance and so on; allowing me to preserve/protect my cashflow. I have always been diligent to pay the interest on our 13 loans from a personal (non tax deductible) Line of Credit. This is because of my understanding that to claim as a tax deduction any capitalising of interest would be to cross the line with the ATO.

It would appear, however, that recent rulings (PBR 80938, 79493 etc) have determined that it is perfectly OK to claim as a tax deduction any capitalisation of interest payments for an investment property (as with the related property expenses) on the condition that:

  • My loans are kept separate and
  • My primary reason for doing so is not to reduce my tax liability. That is, it is not part of a “split loan” which aims to pay off personal debt (such as a home loan, e.g.) faster.

Hanging over all of this, however, is “Part IVA”; which reads: “The incurring of compound interest depends upon a decision not to pay simple interest as it falls due. Sometimes such a decision will be compelled by impecuniosity”. My understanding of what this is saying is that if anything is done with a “dominant purpose of a tax benefit” it is not allowed. Where the word “impecuniosity” turned up (a word that neither my spell check or I were familiar with) is in a statement from the ATO that simply means you are too poor and cannot afford to pay.

My personal choice is to continue to make all interest payments from personal funds, only capitalising my property expenses. Like anyone I am allowed to capitalise my interest payments; I just cannot claim the interest on interest as a Tax Deduction; unless I found myself between a rock & a hard place unable to keep up with my payments and facing the prospect of a forced sale. Rather than falling victim of such drastic action, I would make application to the ATO for a “Private Ruling”.

Q: Why a “Private Ruling”?

A: Because if the ATO decides it can deem my action (to claim as a tax deduction capitalised interest), as taken primarily to avoid tax they will disallow the claim; and probably fine me.

Without a private ruling I would have to demonstrate to the ATO my impecuniosity.

Please email me at martin@investmentmentor.com.au if you have any questions.

Martin Bell

What Do You Think Of Tenant’s With Pets?

19th
2008

This post was written by Nick Lockhart @ mrd
Posted Under: Question Time @ mrd

A few months ago my wife and I received an email from one of our property managers on this exact subject. Here is an exact copy of the request we received:

Hello Nick, Sorry to worry you when you are away. Your tenant has asked if you would object to her getting a cat. She has always had a cat and misses having one around for company. Would appreciate your response when convenient.

As I was traveling, I “hand balled” this to Katrina (my wife) saying that I had no objection if she didn’t and for her to respond to our property manager. Katrina’s reply to me was as follows:

I have said Yes to this based on having the correct clauses in the contract to cover any damage etc. I don’t have a problem with it as Belinda feels she will be a long term tenant.

Our agreeing to allow our tenant to have a cat came up came up in conversation with a friend some months later to which our friend questioned me: “Why would you let someone have a cat in your property”? My reply was very simple: “Because this is her home, it’s just our investment.

Obviously we want to ensure that our properties are properly cared for, however, my tenant is my very high priority and I want to look after her and have her feel at home. Besides, with so few vendors prepared to allow small pets I can be pretty sure that I will hang onto my tenant for a long time (and at a higher rent).

Fortunately for her, the Body Corporate has said OK to small pets; however, this is not always the case and is sometimes the reason why a vendor must say no.

Market conditions

19th
2008

This post was written by Martin Bell @ mrd
Posted Under: In The News @ mrd

With the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the bargain basement sale of Merrill Lynch in the US, many economic commentators are predicting a second official rate cut next month in an attempt by the RBA to ease domestic financial conditions. Highlighting this renewed confidence, trades on the Sydney Futures Exchange indicate a 100% likelihood that rates will fall by 25 basis points on October 8th.

In all likelihood we will see higher levels of confidence return to the property market on the back of rate falls and demonstrated domestic stability. The most recent consumer sentiment figures released by Westpac and the Melbourne Institute have risen considerably during August and September, providing further evidence that market conditions are likely to improve.

With fewer buyers in the market, ABS statistics are highlighting a reluctance by developers to initiate the building of new housing projects. This may be good news for sellers, as the lack of new stock helps to underpin existing market listings with a floor price. Investors should also benefit as population growth and a general housing shortage will likely drive up rents in coming years.

Dwelling commencement figures recently released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) show dwellings commencements have declined for the second quarter running. Construction on just 38,348 homes commenced in the three months to June, a seasonally-adjusted drop of 3.7% on the March quarter.

Source: My RPData

IMPORTANT: Don’t Sell! Your Investment Property; It’s Going To Double in Value!

12th
2008

This post was written by Nick Lockhart @ mrd
Posted Under: In The News @ mrd

With few exceptions buying and selling investment property within a five year period will cost you money; especially if you are selling one so you can buy another.

There are occasional times when selling an investment property makes sense and is your best option; but these are “exceptions to the norm”. Given purchase costs in (stamp duty & legal fees) and selling costs out (agent’s commission & capital gains tax; CGT) it’s easy for such an exercise to wipe out any “would be” profits…

Read more…

Page 5 of 13 | « First...3 4 5 6 7 ...Last »
How To Prosper In The Slipstream Of Population Growth