Revealing findings of the third Intergenerational Report, Mr Rudd said that, by 2050, there would be only 2.7 people of working age for each person aged 65 years and older, compared with 7.5 people in 1970 and five-to-one this year. Within 40 years, the proportion of the population aged 65 years and older would almost double to 23 per cent.”Unless we make big changes, we will either generate large, unsustainable budget deficits into the second quarter of the century or else we will need to reduce government services – including health services – as the needs of an ageing population become greater,” Mr Rudd said.”At a national level, public finances will be burdened with the increased costs of looking after the needs of older Australians in health, aged care and age pensions. But with a smaller proportion of Australians in the workforce, tax revenues wont keep pace with those rising costs.”

The Prime Minister warned that working families would feel the impact, with slower economic growth holding back increases in wages.”Average family incomes will grow at a slower rate than weve become accustomed to.”The Prime Minister said that removing work barriers for women, getting the unemployed into work and introducing paid parental leave would help minimise the impact of the nations ageing population, but it would not be enough to reverse an economic crisis.”Even with all these measures, workforce participation will fall over the next 40 years, from its peak of around 65 per cent now to around 60 per cent by 2050,” he said.Despite Australias resilience to the global financial crisis, Mr Rudd said Australias productivity growth could not match the 2 per cent recorded during the Hawke-Keating governments.

Last decade, it fell to 1.4 per cent.”If we let this trend of lower productivity growth continue, Australia will struggle to meet the major challenges facing our economy in decades ahead,” Mr Rudd said.He said raising productivity growth to 2 per cent would mean every Australian would be $16,000 a year better off.Mr Rudd, speaking at an Australia Day function, did not give specific examples of new policy, but said productivity would be boosted by current programs, including pumping $18 billion in roads, rail and ports; doubling investments in schools over five years; building a national broadband network and cutting red tape for business.

via Nation building plan to offset ageing population – Kevin Rudd | The Courier-Mail.

Do you remember when the GST was introduced into Australia? It was July 2000. Since then, most working singles and couples could have managed to secure (at least) half a dozen well researched residential investment properties. If you did this; congratulations! No doubt, with falling interest rates and a seriously growing housing shortage… the global slowdown would be delivering you more benefits than challenges right now!

Reaction is all too common! Why wait for drastic times to push us to those “drastic measures” that the politicians keep spruiking?

Doesn’t it make more sense to conduct our financial affairs during the good times in preparation for those drastic times… that always find us sooner or later?

Now while we can’t change the past, it is unwise… perhaps irresponsible… not to learn from it!

• Wealth gives financial options… to work or not; full time or part time
• Wealth allows a family to capitalise their expenses through the leaner times, should that be necessary
• Wealth allows you the luxury to assist an aged parent or take your children travelling and broaden their horizons in life
• Put simply, wealth will allow the construction of a “force field” around your family so that when (not if) financial pressures come your way, they are found to be impotent and ineffective… as far as you and your family are concerned anyway
• Wealth allows you to take advantage of opportunities when they present

No!!! It is not drastic times that call for drastic measures; but life itself!

Sooner or later, LIFE calls for drastic measures. Therefore, until you have created your security and made provision to “pay for the rest of what your life will cost”… you should (1) have a workable plan and (2) be working that plan. So let me ask… are you?

You Have A Duty Of Care!

We get up each day and go through our routine, join the “rat race” and head to work! Why? To earn a living! Let’s not deceive ourselves… earning a living will never on its own deliver us lifestyle.

Unless you are doing something on the side; i.e. separate to your job… like kicking off your part time business, writing the songs that will form your first CD, working on securing a patent for your invention before taking it to market… or perhaps leveraging off what you already have to increase your asset base… you are derelict in your financial “duty of care”… and it is certain that lifestyle with cashflow (as opposed to debt) will never be your experience.

Yes!!! We first need to earn a living, but if that is all we are doing… if we are not simultaneously creating tomorrow’s lifestyle… we (absolutely) will be disappointed! It’s not a matter of if, rather when! Some people’s neglect catches up with them sooner, while others later. Either way, sooner or later our neglect will catch up with us. Hopefully when it does, there will still be time to do something about it.

While we have no choice but to endure pain at some time, we do have a say in which pain we will endure. Which have you decided upon?

1. The pain of discipline now, for a season
2. The pain of regret later, for the remainder of your life

Each and every day; in both the good times and bad… we should be doing something to take us a step closer to the realisation of our dreams and goals.

Don’t wait for ‘your ship to come in’. You began constructing it long ago already, piece by piece… and right beneath your feet. Truly talented musicians and sportspeople endured the pain of discipline for years and years before there ever was a hint that success was heading their way. Day in and day out, little by little… they did “something” to take them closer to their goal. Remember that it takes years to create an “overnight success”.

In an interview, one Australian Olympic swimmer said he never missed a training session. This was so that when he stepped up on the starting block he would know that he had done everything absolutely possible to be the best athlete that he could be. Whether tired or full of energy, whether the water was cold or warm or whether or not he felt like it… he did something towards his goals every day.

Constant and Unrelenting Action

Any worthwhile endeavour will require constant and unrelenting action. Taking great financial care of your family is not all they need from you… but is very, very necessary all the same. Let’s face it… the alternative is not worth considering.

Subprime, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, unemployment and so on and on! These words are not valid excuses for taking time off. Like the swimmer… rain, hail or shine… he swam. Making forward progress is sometimes quite easy and other times it’s really, really hard… but it’s always necessary.

There are times when it is prudent to conserve your financial resources while you seek out new opportunities… there are times when it is most prudent to step out and take action. For some it is now a time to consolidate. For others it is a time to move forward. Whatever choices we make on a daily basis, they ought to be carefully and responsibly considered responses to both our goals and circumstances… not a reaction to fear, uncertainty and confusion.

The important thing is to constantly do something towards your goals.

• Clearly define your goals
• Be real! If you are not prepared to fight for a goal… it isn’t really one at all
• Know your income(s) and expenditure
• Know where your money is being spent
• Identify wasteful and unnecessary leakage
• Get a financial health check
• Fine tune your cash flow structure
• Have your finances assessed to see what resources you currently have
• Learn all you can about your chosen strategy [did you catch that one?]
• Look for ways to overcome your next hurdle
• Remain focused and don’t get distracted

Remember, the financial “ship” that will keep your family afloat is being built piece by piece beneath you… and by you!

Regardless of where you are on your journey; just getting started or well on your way… discipline yourself daily to make some forward progress.

Walking the Talk

Each of the 8 members of the mrd team are doing just this. Our youngest team member’s daily activity includes learning and saving for a first deposit. Now is not the best time for him to buy, but he is doing something! Every admin person, including our part time bookkeeper has either settled an investment property with mrd or is unconditionally contracted to do so. All are looking beyond their next purchase and planning more.

Then there is Martin’s example. Martin set a goal to become a property multi-millionaire when he was 50. On a daily basis he then steadily progressed towards that end and at 58 years of age he retired (sort of like an Olympic achievement… considering how little he had in his favour at the age of 50). Today Martin works as an mrd Property Mentor on a part time basis… and by choice. He does not need the income as much as the involvement in helping others do likewise. If you have not spoken with Martin and had him tell you of his journey, maybe you should. Doing so would constitute as “doing something“… and cost you nothing.

If small doable, daily actions become a part of your routine… what now appears as a hopeful horizon may soon become your experienced reality! That’s when you will start to hear over and over again… people telling you how “lucky” you are.

Our Customer Care Program will work for you… because investing is personal. Don’t be afraid to ask for our help… thinking it will somehow be taken as a license to sell you something. That is so far from the mrd DNA, it’s laughable. We will assist you on your journey from where you are to where you want to go. We will do so respectfully and responsibly and at all times empowering you to make your own fully informed decisions. Personally, I think you should have a chat with Martin and ask him to assist you with an mrd “Finance Structure and Cashflow Health Check”. This is Step 1; the diagnosis phase… from where changes can be made to possibly assist you to:

• Pay off your mortgage sooner
• Eliminate horrible debt faster
• Legitimately reduce the amount of tax you are paying
• Do away with unnecessary property record keeping
• Keep your accountant’s charges to a minimum
• Set real (and achievable) goals
• Define a track to run on… so you are not derailed along the way

To take advantage of this no obligation, complimentary offer from mrd you will need to complete a Borrowing Capacity Assessment form. NB: While you may not be looking to borrow money at this time, the information gathered on this form is nevertheless essential before we can conduct a “Finance Structure and Cashflow Health Check”.

• To complete the BCA form, please click here
• To send a message to Martin, along with your details to have him contact you, please click here

CONGRATULATIONS; you have now finished reading this article; what next piece of your “ship” are you now going away to construct?

Happy Investing,

Nick Lockhart

mrd customer care program… because investing is personal

The average new mortgage lodged in Australia rose to A$354,137 ($442,813) in July, eclipsing the previous record of A$353,223 in October last year, according to mortgage broker AFG. “As every week goes by we’re seeing growing signs of confidence in the property market,” general manager of sales and operations Mark Hewitt said. “Recent reports of house price increases are stimulating the market as a whole and encouraging investors.”

The data showed 30 per cent of mortgages were arranged for investors, rising from a low of 24.5 per cent in March, whereas new home buyers made up 19 per cent of the mortgage market in July, a proportion that had fallen from 28 per cent in March. Also, the proportion of fixed rate mortgages fell to 5 per cent from 8.3 per cent in June. – AAP

“Every time I interview Australia’s academic bear – Associate Professor Steve Keen from the University of Western Sydney (he predicted a 40% slump in real estate prices in Australia) I always need a positive booster to remind me that the Australian economy is an out-performer and looks poised to beat the global worst case scenarios put forward by other bearish or negative economists.”

The Good News

Expanding Economy

The best news was that our economy expanded by 0.4% in the March quarter after contracting by a revised 0.6% in the December quarter, and it meant we dodged an official recession. This was a real confidence booster for consumers and business owners who were wondering when the worst of this economic downturn would hit.

After this reading, CommSec came out and predicted the economy would probably grow by only 0.6% this financial year, but 2.1% growth for 2009-10 and then a big 4.1% growth for 2010-11.

Retail Sales

The month of May kept the merriment coming with retail sales rising by 1% after going up 0.3% in April. In annual terms retail sales were up 7.1% on a year ago and this is the biggest annual increase since December 2007.

Housing Prices

On the real estate front, the RP Data-Rismark Hedonic Australian Home Value Index rose by 0.9% in May and by 1.6% over the year. In the first five months of 2009, Australian dwelling prices were up 3.9%, translating to a 9.4% annual rate

Business Confidence

The NAB measure posted its biggest monthly gain in eight years. It was helped by a positive global share market and promises of big infrastructure spending.

The monthly business survey showed business confidence rose 12 index points in May to minus-2 index points, the largest one-month jump since May of 2001. The index went to the highest level since February of 2008.

Consumer Confidence

The Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index recording the biggest back to back gain since records started 36 years ago. The index rose by 9.3% in July, which is a 19-month high.

Our Biggest Trading Partner

In China retail sales in May rose to an annual rate of 15.2% annual rate and industrial production expanded at 8.9%. Chinese banks lent a record 5.83 trillion Yuan in the first five months of 2009 more than the minimum yearly target of 5 trillion. And finally, CommSec reports that China’s urban fixed asset investment for spending on roads, power plants, etc. grew at annual rate of 32.9% in the first five months of the year. This was the largest increase recorded in the last five years.

The Bad News

As Peter Switzer says “Regrettably, I have run out of room for the bad news, so that will have to wait for another day. I will try to remember to do that, not!”

http://au.biz.yahoo.com/switzer/finance/15072009/note_good_news.html

Not only do we have one of the highest home ownership rates in the world but we also have one of the highest investment rates in the world.

Last year, more than 1.4 million people claimed rental deductions against their tax returns, and 200,000 firsttime property investors are expected to swell that number to 1.6 million this year.

While negative gearing, claiming your losses and cutting your costs are all allowed under our tax system, there are still a high number of mistakes made every year when it comes to property returns. The Australian Taxation Office says more than $25 billion was claimed in deductions on rental properties last year, making real estate one of the largest sources of claims.

Frank Brass, a director of tax company H&R Block, says one of the biggest expenses and often the area where the most mistakes are made is claiming interest paid on borrowings. “If you use some of the money for private expenses, then the interest amount has to be worked out pro-rata – a very expensive process to get your tax agent to do,” he says.

http://www.news.com.au/business/money/story/0,25197,25806877-14327,00.html

Martin comments – I have learnt over the past few years that having a great property is only part of a successful investment. We have seen many people with good properties “in trouble” because they did not set up their accounts and loans properly. Mixing private and investment expenses on the same account , as mentioned above, is one of the common mistakes made. As experienced investors we can show you how we manage those issues for ourselves.

High levels of immigration are fuelling record population growth.  

Australia’s headcount increased by almost 400,000 last year to 21.5 million, fresh data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shows. More than half of the new arrivals, or just over 230,000 people, were immigrants. The rest were babies born in Australia. The federal government this week moved to reduce immigration, cutting the skilled migrant intake by 14 per cent in response to the economic crisis.  

The rate at which the population is growing has surged 50 per cent over the last five years. It is now growing at just under two per cent a year. “The last time Australia experienced higher growth rates was in the 50s and 60s as a result of post war migration and high birth rates,” the ABS said in a statement.  

Western Australia and Queensland attracted the most new people in the year to September 2008. Tasmania was spurned.

For people moving within Australia, Queensland was the mecca, while people from NSW appeared keen to leave their state.

Cathy Alexander, Sydney Morning Herald

March 18, 2009

While the global financial crisis has wiped at least 45 per cent off the value of equity portfolios in the past year, the value of most residential real estate – excluding top end houses and coastal apartments – has fallen only about 3 per cent……

The ATO’s just released Taxation Statistics 2006-07 show that 1.6 million Australians … – one in every 10 adults in the country – included rental income in their tax returns….. Most – 72.5 per cent – held only one rental property.

…. Two clear groups of investors prefer residential property. One is professionals such as doctors and lawyers, who use negative gearing to manage their tax affairs and benefit from tax sheltered capital growth….. another group of investors was becoming even more important – the “mums and dads” investing for their future…..

Not only have property values generally withstood the financial storm but also the income has kept rising. Melbourne rents increased between 9 and 15 per cent in 2008, according to Victorian government figures released on Thursday. And the outlook in Australia – a housing shortage, low mortgage rates and a sound banking system – remains sound, unlike the situations in the US and UK.

Reserve Bank of Australia head of economic analysis Anthony Richards, in a speech during the week, said that “there are a number of reasons to think that [housing] outcomes here might remain better than elsewhere.”   The Weekend Australian Financial Review

Australia experiences high population growth: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)

Australia is continuing to record high population growth, according to figures released today by the ABS.

A total population growth rate of 1.8% was recorded for the year ending September 2008, up from the 1.2% recorded five years ago. The last time Australia experienced higher growth rates was in the 50’s and 60’s (above 2%) as a result of post war migration and high birth rates.

As at 30 September 2008, Australia’s population had grown to 21,542,000 an increase of 389,000 people over the previous year. Australia’s net overseas migration contributed to more than half of this growth at 61% or 235,900 people. Natural increase (the excess of births over deaths) contributed 153,400 (39%).

In the same period, Western Australia continues to record the fastest population growth at 2.9%, followed by Queensland (2.5%), the Northern Territory (2.2%), Victoria (1.8%), the Australian Capital Territory (1.4%), New South Wales (1.3%), South Australia (1.1%) and Tasmania (0.9%).

Queensland and Western Australia received the most people from net interstate migration, gaining 22,700 and 5,600 people respectively from the other states and territories. The states that lost the most people to interstate migration include New South Wales (down 22,400), South Australia (down 4,700) and Victoria (down 2,400).

But Did The RBA Get It Wrong?

It will be interesting to watch what they do with interest rates in the months ahead. Their actions will be an indication of whether this months decision to leave rates on hold was the right one or not.

At the beginning of 2008 the RBA put interest rates up twice. At the time the opposition argued that the decision to do so was wrong and a reaction to Kevin Rudd & Wayne Swan talking up inflation; citing it as the # 1 enemy to go after. What they failed to recognise was that the negative economic impact coming out of the USA had already begun to work its way through the system and here in Australia the economic slowdown was just about to bite.

The numerous interest rate cuts later in the year is clear evidence that monetary policy in the early part of 2008 was wrong.

As it turns out, 2008 was not a year where inflation was our major concern. In fact, before the year was out the global slowdown put an end to inflation as global demand for goods and services fell away and prices began collapsing.

Nick’s Opinion

Personally I think:

• Our economy still lacks the overall business and consumer confidence needed to see things turn around
• Banks are still being very difficult to deal with when it comes to businesses wanting to borrow money etc
• That the next round of federal government handouts (the stimulus package) will not have as potent a short term impact as expected or needed
• Unemployment continues to be the worrying issue and unless small business gets some relief the negative employment trend will not be arrested

It’s just an opinion and I may be wrong, but for reasons including those above, I expect we will see further cuts to interest rates. I also see justification for the extent of further rate cuts to go further than most economists are currently predicting.

The question: “Did the Reserve Bank get it wrong in March when they left interest rates on hold” draws a divided response; and only time will tell.

The RBA’s decision to leave interest rates on hold this month was either (1) A positive vote of confidence in the Australian economy, or (2) A mistake… that will be corrected in the months to come.

Outlook For Property Investors

Current conditions are actually ideal for investors… regardless of whether or not the RBA moves on rates further.

• Property can be purchased at fantastic prices; most, if not all, developers could be classed as “motivated vendors” right now
• Interest rates are the lowest they have been in our lifetime
• Australia is in the midst of a massive housing shortfall

For anyone with a job, the current climate should be as easy as it is likely to ever get… when it comes to creating wealth! Don’t let this open door close before you act!

Happy Investing,

Nick Lockhart
mrd Customer Care Program… because investing is personal

Finance Structure & Cash Flow Health Check

Prevention is better than cure. A complimentary, no obligation Finance Structure & Cash Flow Health Check may save you (literally) tens of thousands of dollars, see the mortgage on your home cleared quicker and open up opportunities that would otherwise have passed you by.

Yes please! Follow the link below to securely send us the information we need to complete this on your behalf:

https://www.investmentmentor.com.au/bca.php

Case studies of other mrd clients that have undertaken a financial health check:

http://investmentmentor.com.au/2009/02/20/property-investor-crash-victims/

Some people are simply confused right now. They have heard so many mixed messages in the past 18 months that they are unsure if now is a good time to step out and invest… or hold back and minimise their commitments.

If that’s you, don’t stay confused. It’s only when we have the right information that we can make fully informed decisions.

• Keep asking questions
• “Lash out” and have us prepare a Finance Structure & Cash Flow Health Check (there’s no cost anyway)
• Explore your retirement possibilities; not based on what you have done to date but what is possible in the next 7 to 10 years

To have us assist you, click here

Happy Investing,

Nick Lockhart
mrd Customer Care Program… because investing is personal