This post was written by Nick Lockhart @ mrd
Posted Under: From the desk @ mrd
Statements last week by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) confirmed a two-speed global economy. A Greek debt crisis that could potentially trigger a European banking crisis would probably push Europe into recession… and the US would likely follow. Compare the economic challenges of the North Atlantic region with the sheer strength of the Chinese economy, where the IMF forecasts growth of 9.5% this year and 9% next year and you’ll understand that not only is there a two-speed economy here in Australia but we also have a two-speed global economy. So, “What’s Really Going On Globally And More Importantly In Australia?”
Phenomenal Growth In Australia
Australia, which has not been hitched to the North Atlantic zone for a very long time, has a huge pipeline of mining and energy development projects throughout WA & QLD. Our economy is firmly hitched to our massive export markets; China and India being the biggest. A report by Deloitte Access Economics Investment Monitor shows the value of investment projects in Australia has lifted to more than $830 billion. It found the value of current and future projects rose by almost 8.5 per cent in the June quarter, with resources and infrastructure projects leading the charge.
How Much Is $830 billion?
- $94.75 million every minute of every hour of every day for a year
- $10,000 a day for 227,397 years (or 83 million days)
Mining Australia reports that:
- India is one of Queensland’s biggest importers buying over 20 million tonnes of our coal each year
- The Indian government believes steel is vital for its economic growth, and is leading the push to buy up mining operations in Australia, and is strongly encouraging private companies to do the same
Back in April 2011 ‘The Australian’ newspaper reported that:
- A second Indian company is set to make a massive investment in Australia’s next coal frontier in Queensland’s Galilee Basin with GVK Power poised to buy Hancock Prospecting’s two mines in a deal worth $8 billion
- The first coal from the Galilee Basin is not scheduled to leave the country until 2014. The other big holding in the Galilee Basin is that of Clive Palmer, who claims to have a deal to export $60bn worth of coal to China over the next 20 years
Two-Speed Economies – Global and Australia
Two-speed means slow and fast (at the same time). Here at home retail, tourism and manufacturing are doing it tough while the mining sector (and those associated with it) continues to prosper at an incredible rate. Globally the same is true. The North Atlantic region continues to struggle while countries like China and India are literally booming. Because Australia is very much hitched to these emerging middle class economies we find ourselves in the fast lane of the two-speed global economy.
Even a recession in Europe and the USA will do little to quell the growth of a country like China. Remember the IMF has already factored this in and revised down the expected growth of China to 9.5% this year and 9% next (still massive). Even if a fall in demand for Chinese made products was more severe, that government (unlike many of their North Atlantic counterparts) could very easily undertake large infrastructure spending and/or cut interest rates to keep their economy stimulated.
On the flip side, those countries suffering in the current two-speed global economy have borrowed and spent and lowered interest rates as much as they can. Unlike China and India they have very little room left to move.
In response to statements made by the IMF last week Julia Gillard reaffirmed that the fundamentals of the Australian economy remain strong: Read more…
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Tags: Borrowing Capacity, china and india, chinese economy, Clive Palmer, deloitte access economics, europe and USA, european banking crisis, federal government, greek debt crisis, GVK Power, Hancock Prospecting, imf, international monetary fund, Investing, investment monitor, investment pipeline, investment projects, investor, julia gillard, manufacturing, mining and energy development, mining operations in australia, mining sector, mrd, north atlantic, paying too much in interest, poverty trap, property, qld, Queensland's Galilee Basin, resources and infrastructure projects, retail, strong banking system, terms of trade, tourism, two speed global economy, WA

